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bb/100

The standard unit for a poker win rate: big blinds won per hundred hands. Chips and currency totals are not comparable across stakes or session lengths, so results are normalised — a player up 250 big blinds over 5,000 hands has a win rate of 5 bb/100.

The unit exists to be compared, and the comparison is usually humbling. Solid winners in most online games run somewhere in the low single digits; a sustained 10 bb/100 in a full-ring game is exceptional rather than typical. Any figure well outside that band is almost always a sample-size artefact rather than a discovery.

The reason is variance, and its scale is easy to underestimate. Standard deviation in no-limit hold'em runs around 100 bb per 100 hands — roughly twenty times a good win rate. Run the arithmetic and the conclusion is uncomfortable: even after 100,000 hands the 95% confidence interval around a measured win rate is still about plus or minus 6 bb/100. A player who has genuinely earned 5 bb/100 over that sample cannot yet distinguish themselves statistically from a break-even player.

The practical consequence is that a win rate is a slow instrument, and almost nothing you want to know arrives fast enough through it. Ten thousand hands says very little. A downswing of thirty buy-ins is a normal event, not evidence of a leak. Decisions about whether a specific adjustment is working have to be made by examining the decisions themselves, because the results will not answer in time.

The opponents in this hand are the AI players in Villain — no two play alike, and on PRO they change gears every 3–8 hands. Free to try, no signup.